Research archive

Research in 2026.

Research organized by version date.

The Five Lenses: Connection-Oriented Problem Location

A framework paper that advances structured thinking from the generic expression of "conclusion first, mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive" into a four-stage problem-location method — Structure → Surface connections → Infer root problem → Find solution — with the causal, duality, dialectical, position, and interest lenses at its core, offering a testable training protocol and its boundaries of use.

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The Laws of Human Motivation: The Situational Motivation Model

A theoretical synthesis, conceptual model, and application framework: it redefines motivation from "whether someone has drive" into a situated process of "whether motivation is generated, whether it can be converted into behavior, and whether it can be sustained," integrating self-determination theory, expectancy-value, goal setting, self-efficacy, and behavior models; bringing in perspectives from developmental psychology, business management, and organizational and occupational psychology to propose a three-layer "Situational Motivation Model" with a "growth axis," which it concretizes in the workplace into six components — task, goal, incentive, feedback, development path, and leadership/relationship — connecting to measurable outcomes such as engagement, commitment, performance, burnout, and turnover, introducing the enterprise life cycle as an enterprise-level moderating variable, and ultimately yielding nine falsifiable laws of motivation.

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China's Second-Hand Home Prices over the Next Five Years: An Interpretable Combination Forecasting Method and Bottoming Analysis (2026–2030)

Based on the official second-hand residential price indices of 70 cities (2019–2026, 90 consecutive months with no gaps), we propose an interpretable three-component combination forecast (trend continuation / mean reversion / seasonality, with weights selected by rolling out-of-sample validation), provide five-year forecasts for the nation and Beijing, and discuss the possibility of a bottom.

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When AI Lowers Workflow Barriers: How to Redivide Functional Lines and Business Lines

A position paper: functional lines were efficient in an era of highly specialized work; once tools lower skill barriers, organizations should be redesigned around end-to-end business capability. It provides the mechanism, a spectrum of organizational forms, judgment signals, the two Chinese and American starting points, talent needs, and a falsifiable pilot protocol.

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Workplace Relationship Risk Analysis Protocol: From Power Structures to Authority, Responsibility, and Career Safety

A research-design and protocol paper proposing a safety-action-oriented framework for organizing material and annotating risk in workplace settings, covering top-middle-bottom three-tier safety, power structures, horizontal competition, authority-responsibility misalignment, career safety, career development, and occupational mental health.

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The Measurable and the Unmeasurable: A Source- and Methodology-Aware Method for Constructing China's Housing Price Data (Beijing as a District-Level Case)

Based on a completed Chinese housing price data asset (the official 70-city index panel, the national macro panel and LPR series, the Beijing district-level listing average price monthly series, and official district-level signed-contract and annual transaction data), we propose a source- and methodology-aware data construction framework and present cross-methodology empirical results.

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